![]() ![]() So to sum up, the Bulls at a modern pace are almost 11-point favorites, and the Warriors at a mid-90s pace are slightly-below double-digit favorites. If we look at their average lines compared to those specific teams’ pace, the disparity grows larger, with the Warriors an average -10.27 favorites per 100 possessions and the Bulls a whopping -10.97 per 100 possessions.īased on that figure, we can estimate that if the ’96 Bulls played at the Warriors’ pace, they would have been, on average, 10.89-point favorites, and the 2016 Warriors at the Bulls’ pace would have been 9.35-point favorites. So the Warriors were bigger favorites in 2016… but not adjusted for the pace of the games.īut that’s based on league averages. If we divide point spread by pace (estimated possessions per game), the Bulls finished with a higher spread per 100 possessions (-10.8) than the Warriors (-10.6). The Warriors were favored by more than the Bulls in the regular season, but the pace differential should be noted. But so much of that feels like it’s impacted by Curry’s injury. Even as popular as the Warriors were, they were not treated as invincible once the playoffs came around. It’s relevant that the Warriors had a better ATS performance than the Bulls. Preseason win total over/under: unknown.The Warriors were 13.5-point favorites in Game 1 and weren’t double-digit favorites again until Game 6 of the Blazers series.Įven with Curry’s injury and going down 3-1 to the Thunder, the Warriors were underdogs only four times in those playoffs: Game 6 vs. Their playoff performance against the spread (ATS) is tempered by the absence of Steph Curry, who was injured in the first round and didn’t return until late in the second round. Instead, they had the best regular season in history, at least by overall wins. The Warriors came off their first title under the expectations that there was no way their follow-up season would be as good. ![]() The team with the most wins in the regular season ever… but no title. The Man, the Myth, the Gambler: A Collection of Michael Jordan Betting Stories Read now 2016 Warriors ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |